From Murray.Dryer@noaa.gov Fri Apr 20 18:22:33 2001 Return-Path: Received: from cripplecreek.sec.noaa.gov (cripplecreek.sec.noaa.gov [140.172.224.30]) by sag.lmsal.com (8.11.0/8.11.0) with ESMTP id f3L1MQJ32296 for ; Fri, 20 Apr 2001 18:22:27 -0700 (PDT) Received: from noaa.gov ([140.172.224.29]) by cripplecreek.sec.noaa.gov (Netscape Messaging Server 4.15) with ESMTP id GC4BTA00.P2C; Fri, 20 Apr 2001 19:22:22 -0600 Message-ID: <3AE0E11B.7C81EF10@noaa.gov> Date: Fri, 20 Apr 2001 19:23:40 -0600 From: "Murray Dryer" X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.75 [en] (Win98; U) X-Accept-Language: en MIME-Version: 1.0 To: Mike Kaiser CC: reiner@urap.gsfc.nasa.gov, thompson@eitv3.nascom.nasa.gov, stcyr@cua.edu, bale@sunspot.ssl.berkeley.edu, ennio.sanchez@sri.com, robert.macdowall@gsfc.nasa.gov, mdryer@sec.noaa.gov, u2leb@lepvax.gsfc.nasa.gov, bougeret@obspm.fr, gopals@fugee.gsfc.nasa.gov, ipavich@umtof.umd.edu, nitta@lmsal.com, kaiser@lepmlk.gsfc.nasa.gov, xrdbb@lepvx3.gsfc.nasa.gov, golla@urap.gsfc.nasa.gov, kartalev@geospace4.imbm.bas.bg, bfleck@esa.nascom.nasa.gov, RWC.BOULDER@noaa.gov, space@afwa.af.mil, roger-r-anderson@uiowa.edu, u2dhf@lepdhf.gsfc.nasa.gov, zsmith@sec.noaa.gov, eort@sec.noaa.gov, nigel@ips.gov.au, bmurtagh@sec.noaa.gov, gfry@expi.com, ccwu@bxsvr2.bartol.udel.edu, gheckman@sec.noaa.gov, plunkett@kreutz.nascom.nasa.gov, hudson@isass0.solar.isas.ac.jp, ebend@netlabs.net, cbalch@sec.noaa.gov, nicola.fox@gsfc.nasa.gov, hilary.cane@utas.edu.au, murraydryer@msn.com Subject: Re: WAVES April 18 report References: <200104201542.LAA01521@lepmlk.gsfc.nasa.gov> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Status: R Mike, Betcha a beer that it will never make it here. I'd love to see a "Hemisphere-Buster" from that W120 flare (or thereabouts). However, I think its far eastern flank is sure to be too weak, due to deceleration all along its periphery, to give us any discernible signal. I hope that I'm wrong. If so, the implication would be that the peak shock speed above the flare site would have had to be about 3000 km/sec and decelerated to your 950 km/sec (or so) further from the Sun when you picked it up. I hope it will cost me that beer. Murray